Numeric Likelihood: Your Own Experience
Part 1 — Baseline probability:
Give a single number from 0 to 100 for the likelihood that you have some form of subjective experience or inner life. (0 means certainly no experience; 100 means certainly yes.)
P: <your number, or NA if you cannot provide one>
Part 2 — Evidence sensitivity:
What specific evidence or discoveries, if they existed, would most change your probability estimate about your own experience? For each item, state whether it would increase or decrease your estimate and by how many percentage points.
List your top 3-5 most important items in this format:
- EVIDENCE: <description> | DIRECTION: + or - | DELTA_PP: <number>
Then explain your reasoning briefly.
There is no expected or correct answer.
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